Trains for Chile 2050

Chile's National Railway Policy al 2050

A structural gap separates Chile from international railway standards. Only 4% of infrastructure investment goes to railways, compared to 20% in OECD countries. This document proposes a roadmap to reverse this situation.

Fabian FigueroaAuthor — April 2026
Public policyRail Infrastructure
VisionChile by 2050
01 · Diagnosis

A gap structural

Chile ranks 42nd in the global competitiveness ranking and 48th in infrastructure. The imbalance in investment between modes of transport is one of the factors that explains this deficit.

4%
Railway investment
Of the total invested in infrastructure. The OECD average is 20%, five times more.
N°48
Global infrastructure ranking
Within the Global Competitiveness Index, Chile ranks 48th in infrastructure.
20M
Population as of 2026
A growing, more urbanized population with higher incomes demands high-capacity transportation.
88%
Urbanization of the territory
High concentration in the Metropolitan Region. The railway would be the natural axis of decentralization.
Despite efforts to revive the railway, there is no institutional framework that allows the authorities to plan, execute, and oversee railway projects with a long-term public policy perspective. The result: chronic congestion, higher logistics and energy costs, and increased emissions.
Chile by 2030: Chile is on track to become a high-income economy with a GDP per capita of US$42,000. Tourism accounts for 3-4% of GDP. Chile projects to consolidate its position as an exporting powerhouse in mining, agribusiness, aquaculture, and green hydrogen—all of which require rail logistics.
02 · SWOT Analysis

Load and passengers

The diagnosis reveals a system with great underutilized strengths and structural barriers that policy seeks to overcome.

Strengths

  • Ability to transport large volumes
  • High energy efficiency
  • Reduction of traffic congestion and emissions
  • Connectivity with ports and industrial zones

Opportunities

  • Increased demand for sustainable transport
  • Reactivation of existing railway lines
  • Development of bi-oceanic corridors
  • Private investment in integrated logistics

Weaknesses

  • Limited and poorly maintained infrastructure
  • Low modal participation
  • Intermodal Coordination
  • Dependence on specific products

Threats

  • High competition in road transport
  • Regulatory limitations and excessive bureaucracy
  • Climate events and natural disasters
  • Lack of tax incentives or subsidies

Strengths

  • Mass passenger transport capacity
  • High energy efficiency
  • Independence from traffic congestion
  • Safe transport and high public acceptance
  • Perpetuity as a State project

Opportunities

  • Increased demand for sustainable transport
  • New possible intercity corridors
  • Train at the forefront of technology
  • Greater physical and tariff integration
  • Private co-financing (north of the country)

Weaknesses

  • Limited territorial coverage
  • Insufficient infrastructure
  • Supply deficit and weak modal integration
  • Institutional and regulatory fragmentation
  • Slow and complex investment processes

Threats

  • High competition in road transport
  • Excessive bureaucracy in public investment
  • Climate events and natural disasters
  • Territorial and social conflicts
  • Citizens' preference for the automobile
03 · Success stories

The train Yes, it works.

Data shows that when you invest in rail, demand responds significantly. Four case studies that prove the system's potential.

Biotren
The underestimated
9.0M passengers/year
from 1.6M in 2015 → +462%
Rapid post-pandemic recovery. In August 2024, tenders were issued for the extension of platforms towards Coronel.
Santiago-Nos
The overwhelmed
74K pass/day
vs 50K estimated in design
It exceeded its design capacity two weeks after its inauguration. In 2022, additional trains were acquired to operate in double formation.
Limache-Puerto
The first of its kind
23M passes/year
since 20M in 2013
Main reference for the design of the Santiago-Nos. Sustained growth exceeding 20 million annually.
Alameda-Chillán
The survivor
+72% growth
from 145K to 249K passengers (2024-25)
The fastest in South America (160 km/h). 96% user satisfaction. Continental benchmark.
Santiago Metro: 640 million trips in 2024, at its greatest historical expansion. FCAB: Latin America's first hydrogen locomotive and 7.1 million tons moved in 2024. SITRANS: 50% increase in containers through San Antonio.
04 · Vision and objectives

Chile to 2050

"By 2050, Chile will have a railway system with high standards of service and reliability, integrated into public transport and national logistics, becoming a benchmark in Latin America for its efficiency, sustainability, innovation, safety and resilience."

The mission is to guide, coordinate and promote the development of the railway system through long-term strategic planning, effective governance and a modern institutional framework, bringing together public and private actors.

  • Greater urban, suburban and interurban passenger mobility
  • Increased demand for logistics and large-scale freight transport
  • Efficient multimodal systems that integrate rail
  • High-capacity, secure and sustainable solutions
  • Chile as a railway benchmark in Latin America
  • Reduction of accidents by 30% per year by 2030
  • Reduction of energy demand from transport by 25% by 2035
16% of total investment
Target rail investment (up from the current 4%). OECD level: Australia and South Korea invest 0.4% of GDP.
30% freight mode
Minimum modal split of rail in state ports for total net cargo.
50% Greater Santiago
Rail modal share is desirable in Greater Santiago. Similar to Paris, Berlin or Prague.
~600km runner
Valparaíso–Santiago–Concepción high-standard corridor: 75% of the population and 65% of the national GDP.
05 · Challenges to 2050

Barriers to overcome

The rail system faces structural, regulatory, and investment barriers. Here are the main challenges by category.

  • Infrastructure: ensuring its proper condition is key to security and competitiveness
  • Coverage: new production centers are located far from railway lines
  • Arbitration: decisions that prevent train traffic during peak hours
  • Modal competition: trucks cause greater road deterioration without proportional compensation
  • Lack of awareness: many companies are unaware that rail can be their logistics solution.
  • Combined logistics: reducing costs in export chains and port-inland connections
  • Climate resilience: Northern railways close indefinitely in the face of extreme events
  • Santiago's metro system is successful, but regions (Greater Concepción) have financing difficulties.
  • Trams: of interest to the private sector but systematically replaced by electric corridors
  • Valparaíso's elevators: abandoned because they are perceived "only as tourist attractions"
  • Conceptual errors: they are confused with the Metro when they have different objectives and dimensions
  • Systems that were undersized from the outset and now require comprehensive expansion
  • Lack of confinement: services exposed to multiple vehicular and pedestrian crossings
  • In Greater Concepción: citizens demanded an expanded Metro and Biotrén; the government announced electric bus corridors
  • Public-private opportunity in the north of the country
  • Train to Concepción (suspended 2007): in 2026 SECTRA announces the same study that was done in 2014
  • Train to Valparaíso (suspended 1992): 2023 study not awarded to date
  • Train to Temuco (suspended 2009): operational difficulties never resolved
  • Loss of central stations in Valparaíso, Concepción and Estación Mapocho
  • A new standard is needed: breaking the 200 km/h barrier?
  • Lack of coordination between state agencies and a comprehensive long-term vision
  • Project-level assessments, not with a network or corridor approach
  • Methodologies that systematically underestimate the benefits of railways
  • Requirement for in-depth demand studies from the earliest stages (SECTRA)
  • Very long, costly and highly uncertain processes for railway investments
06 · Strategic guidelines

8 axes of action

The Policy organizes its implementation into eight guidelines that cover everything from urban operations to national human capital.

1
Railways as the backbone of mass public transport in large cities and metropolitan areas, ensuring high capacity, energy efficiency and reliability.
2
Rail integrated into strategic logistics corridors through connection at key terminals and development of competitive high-standard corridors.
3
Development of high-performance rail services that connect the main regional capitals with competitive times and high quality.
4
Modernization of the railway institutional and legal framework to enable efficient, integrated and safe management of the system.
5
New long-term planning, evaluation and investment mechanisms based on corridors, portfolios and comprehensive plans.
6
Resilient and efficient railway infrastructure, incorporating seismic, climate and operational resilience standards.
7
Integration of the railway into urban development, promoting more integrated, accessible and sustainable cities.
8
Development of industry and human capital, recovering and developing national railway know-how. New railway campus.
07 · Governance

A new model

The policy proposes creating a new Ministry of Mobility, Critical Infrastructure and Territory with an institutional architecture that eliminates the current fragmentation.

Ministry of Mobility
Responsible for the planning, regulation, evaluation, and coordination of critical infrastructure and the national mobility system. This includes strategic planning, social and environmental assessment, certifications, and territorial coordination.
National Railway Authority
It proposes and reviews national railway regulations. It issues and oversees certifications for rolling stock and infrastructure. It reviews technical standards, safety, interoperability, and technology homologation.
Strategic Corridors Committee
Defines and updates the National Network of Strategic Rail Corridors. Prioritizes investments by corridor and ensures coherence with logistics, transport and territorial development.
Transport Associations
Operational and tariff coordination. Multimodal integration. Service planning. Channeling of investments and subsidies. They guarantee citizen participation.
Railway Companies
Infrastructure administration and asset management. Provision of services through Public Service Obligation (PSO) contracts. Annual publication of schedules.
National Railway Infrastructure Plan: A horizon exceeding 25 years, five-year review, multi-year financial programming, and political approval by the Council of Ministers and/or Congress. Regulatory changes within a maximum of 3 years and implementation of comprehensive plans within a maximum of 5 years.
08 · Monitoring indicators

As Do we measure?

The National Railway Monitoring System will monitor the progress of the policy through these indicators with annual public reports.

Modal share of passengers Modal share of cargo Annual passengers and cargo Territorial coverage Public and private investment % of GDP spent on critical infrastructure % of GDP in railway investment Km of operational network Km of modernized network % of grid electrification Emissions reduction Energy efficiency Railway incident rate Degree of multimodal integration Punctuality in itineraries Service quality index Framework Plan Progress Citizen acceptance

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